As a famous saying goes, the rising would always go for a war with the ruling, and, the ruling would take all measures to make the rising sink; thus, according to the saying, China’s war with US seems then inevitable (let’s say Taiwan becomes an excuse); but, would the same case one day be applicable for/to Bharat (erstwhile India) as well?
Undoubtedly, China’s Debt Diplomacy would succumb in front of G20(21st) nation/union with the inclusion of African Union, as the former was a typical Private Lenders’ Schemes, whilst, the latter is more altruistic approach for upliftment of the Global South; so if Chinese President has avoided G20-21, and in BRICS, India has become its No.2 enemy, which is unfathomable as to why would the second largest populated land with the second largest economy, made/make the largest populated land with the third largest economy which is a huge market for cheap products to be sold into; its Enemy? And African Union would be more comfortable with G21, rather, always debt restructuring; then what would be China’s next move to achieve its goal of correcting the present global order via de-dollarization?
Now, if the West has realized that its relationship with China since 80s/90s was a mistake and as it ended up being detrimental for the West, it would indeed forge a backup plan to rescue itself, if in case needed against any nation, and that includes against Bharat (India) as well. Then, what would be that plan?
And as Germany has become the Sick Man of the Europe, the Rise of its Far Right is inevitable! For this, don’t blame Right, but, the modern liberals & centrists, who didn’t / don’t have any iota of idea about what defines liberalism / centrism in modern times. And once that happens, eventually there would be a War beyond Ukraine within EU (Deja Vu of early 1900s). And with fall of Euro, and as from Italy to France to Britain retracting from China’s communist policies; then the global order would maintain its status-quo, what was post WW-II! Then what would be China’s or US’s next move to maintain/achieve such objectives?
And how far the Indian Regional Vernacular Nationalist Politics (eg. Khalistani movement, etc.) would be allowed to spread across World & who would use/misuse it (eg. Canada)?
The Dilemma!
© Pranav Chaturvedi 2023